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Gukesh or Praggnanandhaa - Who will win 87th Tata Steel Masters?

by Shahid Ahmed - 02/02/2025

The 87th Tata Steel Masters 2025 is virtually guaranteed to have a winner between D Gukesh and R Praggnanandhaa. Yes, there is a mathematical possibility of Nodirbek Abdusattorov (UZB) catching up with both of them and a three-way Playoff, only if both leaders lose their last round game which is practically highly unlikely scenario. Praggnanandhaa squashed Alexey Sarana (SRB) in 29 moves in the penultimate round. Gukesh drew with Jorden van Foreest (NED) which could have gone either player's way. Arjun Erigaisi defeated Abdusattorov and virtually ended his championship hopes. Leon Luke Mendonca held World no.2, Fabiano Caruana (USA) to a solid draw. Round 13 starts today at 2 p.m. local time, 6:30 p.m. IST for both Masters and Challengers section. Photo: Lennart Ootes/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Arjun dashes Abdusattorov's hopes, Leon Luke Mendonca draws with World no.2 Fabiano Caruana

The Challengers event is also poised for an exciting finish. We might get to see a playoff in the Masters section. GM Thai Dai Van Nguyen (CZE) defeated IM Irina Bulmaga (ROU) to catch up with GM Erwin L'Ami (NED) who drew with GM Kazybek Nogerbek (KAZ). Meanwhile, GM Aydin Suleymanli (AZE) scored a hat-trick to join Thai Dai Van and Erwin in a three-way lead 8.5/12. Suleymanli defeated GM Frederik Svane (GER).

R Praggnanandhaa caught up with D Gukesh | Photo: Lennart Ootes/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Praggnanandhaa - Sarana: 1-0

R Praggnanandhaa (2741) and Alexey Sarana (SRB, 2672) had played only two Classical rated games against each other until this game. They shared a win each. Praggnanandhaa has surpassed Sarana quite a lot since their last encounter at the 45th Olympiad which ended in a draw. The Olympiad Gold medalist was in a virtual must-win situation. He wanted to push for a win and got what he wanted out of the opening.

Position after 9.Bd3

9.Bd3 after 8.Be2 is something that would get frowned upon if you follow the golden rules blindly/pre-computer era. However, Praggnanandhaa explained it in the post-game interview. He played 6.Qc2 first to prevent Bf5 7.Qf3 line which Sarana played against Arjun and drew the game. The reasoning behind 8.Be2 first before 9.Bd3 is to not allow Black to get h6 Bh4 Nh5 easily. Once Black develops the bishop, then Bd3 is fine as you no longer need to stop Nh5, h6-g5-Nh5 becomes less effective. That's modern chess for you.

Position after 14.Nh4

Black's play is stopped after 13...g4 14.Nh4. If Black's castles on the queenside, White will attack on it, or a short castle will be met with an attack on the kingside.

Position after 21.Qb3

The only way to prevent Nxa6 threat was to play 21...Ka8. Black missed and played 21...Nb5?? 22.Nxa6+! happened anyway bxa6 23.Rxc6 and White won the game in the next six moves.

R Praggnanandhaa - Alexey Sarana, Commentary by IM Sagar Shah | Video: ChessBase India
Interview with R Praggnanandhaa | Video: Tata Steel Chess Tournament

R Praggnanandhaa decimated Alexey Sarana (SRB) | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

R Praggnanandhaa is now World no.7 and three Indians in top 7 in the live ratings in highest ever | Source: 2700chess.com

Jorden - Gukesh: 0.5-0.5

D Gukesh (2777) has never lost a Classical rated game against Jorden van Foreest (NED, 2688). In their four battles, Gukesh won two and the remaining two ended in draws. This time also Gukesh had a good opportunity to win. However, he messed things up in time trouble.

Position after 22.Bf3

Gukesh felt that he should have gone 22...Kf7 23.Kg3 Nhf6 but he was not sure how to proceed after 24.Kf2 Rae8 25.Qe2. What he actually played in the game 22...Bxh5 is what the computer recommends in the above position.

Position after 38...Re7

39.Qa6? allowed Rxe5!-+ which shifted things in Black's favor 40.fxe5 f4 41.Rh3 fxe3+ 42.Ke2 Rb1? and Black's advantage evaporated. He admitted missing 43.Qxc6 Rxb2+ 44.Kf3 Qf8+ 45.Ke4 Instead, 42...Rxh3 43.gxh3 Qxd4 would have maintained the upper hand for Black. Jorden missed an opportunity to push for a win after 45...Rf2 46.Qe6+ Rf7?? now White needed to play 47.Qg6 instead, he opted for 47.Rxe3 Qa8+ 48.d5 Qxa2 49.Qc8+ Rf8 50.Qe6+ Rf7 51.Qc8+ and the game ended in a draw via perpetual check.

Interview with D Gukesh | Video: Tata Steel Chess Tournament

The game could have gone either players' way | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Arjun - Abdusattorov: 1-0

The last time Arjun Erigaisi (2801) defeated Nodirbek Abdusattorov (UZB, 2766) in a Classical rated game over six years ago. However, Arjun won the most recent encounter at World Rapid in December last year.

Position after 24...Qg5??

Abdusattorov blundered 24...Qg5?? Arjun had no trouble seizing his opportunity 25.g4 f5 26.h4 Qg6 27.Bxf5 Qf7 28.Rd6 Nf6 29.g5 hxg5 30.hxg5 Nf5 31.Bg4 Qe7 32.Rxc6?! not the most precise finish. 32.Rg6 probably could have ended things much earlier.

Arjun Erigaisi almost spoiled Nodirbek Abdusattorov's (UZB) chances for the top spot | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Pentala Harikrishna - Vincent Keymer (GER): 0.5-0.5 | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Leon Luke Mendonca - Fabiano Caruana (USA): 0.5-0.5 | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

GM Aydin Suleymanli (AZE) defeated GM Frederik Svane (GER) to make it a three-way lead in the Challengers | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025
Interview with IM Sagar Shah | Video: Tata Steel Chess Tournament
Interview with GM FST Ivan Sokolov (NED) | Video: Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Round 12 in progress | Photo: Jurriaan Hoefsmit/Tata Steel Chess Tournament 2025

Schedule

Starting from Saturday 18th January to 2nd February, all round starts at 2 p.m. local time, 6:30 p.m. IST. Rest days are same for both Masters and Challengers section - 23rd, 27th and 30th January 2025.

Replay Live stream

Replay Round 12 live commentary by IM Sagar Shah, Amruta Mokal and GM Harshit Raja | Video: ChessBase India

Replay Round 12 Masters games

Replay Round 12 Challengers games

Round 12 results

Masters

Bo.No.RtgWhiteResultBlackRtgNo.
1142801GMErigaisi, Arjun1 - 0GMAbdusattorov, Nodirbek276813
212695GMHarikrishna, Pentala½ - ½GMKeymer, Vincent273312
322741GMPraggnanandhaa, R1 - 0GMSarana, Alexey267711
432639GMMendonca, Leon Luke½ - ½GMCaruana, Fabiano280310
542646GMWarmerdam, Max0 - 1GMFedoseev, Vladimir27179
652751GMWei, Yi½ - ½GMGiri, Anish27318
762680GMVan Foreest, Jorden½ - ½GMGukesh, D27777

Details

Standings after Round 12

Rk.SNoNameFEDRtg TB1  TB2  TB3 
12GMPraggnanandhaa, RIND27418,5048,50
27GMGukesh, DIND27778,5048,25
313GMAbdusattorov, NodirbekUZB27687,5042,00
49GMFedoseev, VladimirSLO27177038,75
58GMGiri, AnishNED27316,5038,00
65GMWei, YiCHN27516,5037,00
710GMCaruana, FabianoUSA28036034,50
81GMHarikrishna, PentalaIND26956029,75
911GMSarana, AlexeySRB26775029,75
106GMVan Foreest, JordenNED26805029,50
1112GMKeymer, VincentGER27335026,75
1214GMErigaisi, ArjunIND28014,5026,75
133GMMendonca, Leon LukeIND26394,5026,00
144GMWarmerdam, MaxNED26463,5018,50

Details

Round 13 pairings

Bo.No.RtgWhiteResultBlackRtgNo.
172777GMGukesh, DGMErigaisi, Arjun280114
282731GMGiri, AnishGMVan Foreest, Jorden26806
392717GMFedoseev, VladimirGMWei, Yi27515
4102803GMCaruana, FabianoGMWarmerdam, Max26464
5112677GMSarana, AlexeyGMMendonca, Leon Luke26393
6122733GMKeymer, VincentGMPraggnanandhaa, R27412
7132768GMAbdusattorov, NodirbekGMHarikrishna, Pentala26951

Details

Challengers

Bo.No.RtgWhiteResultBlackRtgNo.
1142659GMYakubboev, Nodirbek1 - 0IMPijpers, Arthur247413
212490IMDivya, Deshmukh0 - 1GMBok, Benjamin258312
322668GMNguyen, Thai Dai Van1 - 0IMBulmaga, Irina238611
432623GMSuleymanli, Aydin1 - 0GMSvane, Frederik266410
542624GMGurel, Ediz1 - 0GMVaishali, Rameshbabu24769
652614GML'Ami, Erwin½ - ½GMNogerbek, Kazybek25148
762447IMOro, Faustino1 - 0IMLu, Miaoyi24297

Details

Standings after Round 12

Rk.SNoNameFEDRtg TB1  TB2  TB3 
13GMSuleymanli, AydinAZE26238,5049,75
25GML'Ami, ErwinNED26148,5045,75
32GMNguyen, Thai Dai VanCZE26688,5043,75
412GMBok, BenjaminNED25838039,50
54GMGurel, EdizTUR26247136,00
610GMSvane, FrederikGER26647236,00
714GMYakubboev, NodirbekUZB26597236,00
88GMNogerbek, KazybekKAZ25146,5034,50
97IMLu, MiaoyiCHN24295,5029,75
1013IMPijpers, ArthurNED24745027,25
119GMVaishali, RameshbabuIND24765025,25
126IMOro, FaustinoARG24473,5012,00
131IMDivya, DeshmukhIND24903014,75
1411IMBulmaga, IrinaROU2386105,25

Details

Round 13 pairings

Bo.No.RtgWhiteResultBlackRtgNo.
172429IMLu, MiaoyiGMYakubboev, Nodirbek265914
282514GMNogerbek, KazybekIMOro, Faustino24476
392476GMVaishali, RameshbabuGML'Ami, Erwin26145
4102664GMSvane, FrederikGMGurel, Ediz26244
5112386IMBulmaga, IrinaGMSuleymanli, Aydin26233
6122583GMBok, BenjaminGMNguyen, Thai Dai Van26682
7132474IMPijpers, ArthurIMDivya, Deshmukh24901

Details

Time Control

100 minutes for 40 moves, followed by 50 minutes for the remaining moves with 30 seconds increment for each move starting from the first move.

Links

Official site

Tournament Regulations


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